Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.102890 2.404429 2.735219 3.125243 3.572839 4.070808 4.667366
2025-07-27 1.671695 2.086319 2.583373 3.224169 4.030030 5.012079 6.303116
2025-08-03 1.398454 1.852378 2.430458 3.222717 4.283786 5.660804 7.591779
2025-08-10 1.200690 1.669272 2.296119 3.199235 4.472819 6.213384 8.787760
2025-08-17 1.041302 1.509150 2.162080 3.144250 4.592573 6.662831 9.870309
2025-08-24 0.946592 1.424162 2.116557 3.199470 4.862214 7.337762 11.338623
2025-08-31 0.867432 1.350228 2.074927 3.249411 5.120697 8.012741 12.871840
2025-09-07 0.784222 1.259268 1.995349 3.227847 5.259459 8.509135 14.168467
2025-09-14 0.705199 1.165437 1.899866 3.167417 5.323899 8.885600 15.299559
2025-09-21 0.642526 1.091046 1.826907 3.133800 5.424729 9.325161 16.576217
2025-09-28 0.585628 1.020144 1.751915 3.087147 5.494917 9.713929 17.797808
2025-10-05 0.575365 1.028159 1.810904 3.278338 6.000684 10.910822 20.609533
2025-10-12 0.530382 0.974436 1.764234 3.289268 6.207583 11.640373 22.735561
2025-10-19 0.501847 0.948440 1.766138 3.393413 6.607803 12.789060 25.853224
2025-10-26 0.462752 0.897874 1.716404 3.391888 6.801243 13.559747 28.311466
2025-11-02 0.425409 0.846331 1.658789 3.367135 6.943336 14.241726 30.671379
2025-11-09 0.388612 0.791727 1.589092 3.309174 7.008696 14.771485 32.771006
2025-11-16 0.367756 0.767109 1.576454 3.367383 7.324453 15.860924 36.247903
2025-11-23 0.348225 0.743065 1.562232 3.420028 7.633256 16.969693 39.916216
2025-11-30 0.323700 0.705735 1.516104 3.397296 7.770468 17.711872 42.822150
2025-12-07 0.298112 0.663414 1.454872 3.333595 7.805778 18.224224 45.239608
2025-12-14 0.277190 0.629345 1.408291 3.298159 7.902707 18.890617 48.128570
2025-12-21 0.257159 0.595271 1.358268 3.248982 7.960502 19.468953 50.870505